Hardy ThoughtsIn my last update, I said it looked like we were leveling off at about 50,000 cases per day. It seems that was premature as we have gone back to decreasing fairly rapidly. Our 7 day average is down to about 45,000 and appears to still be decreasing. We’ve still got a long way to […]
The big picture on reported numbers is pretty clear. After peaking in late July, reported cases are starting to stabilize at about twice the level of the previous cycle. April and May saw an average of between 20 and 30 thousand cases per day. We seem to be levelling off in the vicinity of 50 […]
Daily cases are falling, daily deaths may be close to peaking, but there are problems with the data. Those are the takeaways for today. Cases are falling faster than I would have expected nationally. Just as the rise was driven by California, Texas, and Florida, the decline is also. The fact that the national decline […]
The high level overview is that daily cases continue to decrease while daily deaths continue to increase. It appears that daily cases may be decreasing more rapidly than I would have anticipated, but it will take a few more days before that settles out. The real question about cases is how far they will drop. […]
I’ve recently taken on some extra contract work and so don’t have as much time to devote to these updates. I’m going to aim for a couple per week, though I’ll try to add an extra if there are specific issues. Nationally, case numbers continue at a high plateau with perhaps some slight decrease. Daily […]
There’s not a lot new to say about the numbers this morning. The national case numbers have stopped growing, but it’s not yet clear whether they will begin to fall and if so, how quickly they might do so. National deaths continue to rise slowly but they are accelerating. The picture is obscured by the […]
Daily case numbers at the national level seem to be cresting. The 7 day average has been within a 1500 point range for the last week. During this period, California, Florida, and Texas, by far the biggest contributors, have been flat or perhaps slightly declining. This is excellent news, though there are some concerns and […]
The national numbers seem to be slowing over the last several days. They’re still rising, but not as quickly as they were. The slowing seems to be driven by a similar pattern in Florida, Texas, and California. These states have been responsible for nearly 50% of daily cases recently, so as they slow down, so […]
The big picture remains largely the same. The Sun Belt and Western states’ case numbers are rising quickly. Other areas are rising more slowly, but are picking up steam. A handful of states don’t show rising numbers, they aren’t concentrated in a single region. No matter where you live, either your state or a neighboring […]
Nationally, the virus numbers continue along the same path. We’re seeing a broad pattern of increasing infections and deaths across the country. About three quarters of states are reporting rising daily case numbers and half report rising daily death numbers. Of those that aren’t rising, only a handful report falling numbers in either category. Florida, […]