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COVID-19

After Thanksgiving

We’re now a week our from Thanksgiving.  Here’s what the graph looks like. As expected, we’ve seen a big dip in cases and deaths over the last week.  Remember that dip is a dip in reporting, not in actual cases or deaths.  The virus doesn’t take time off for long holiday weekends, but the people […]

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COVID-19

Beginning of Thanksgiving Week

Cases and deaths keep rising.  The 7-day average for cases is 170,856, for deaths it is 1,511.  Still there is some good news mixed in.  The rise in cases has been slowing down.  Looking at week-over-week numbers (comparing each day to the same day a week earlier), the rate of increase has steadily dropped from […]

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COVID-19

A week before Thanksgiving

Cases continue to rise and accelerate across the nation, however, there is some evidence that the rate of acceleration has decreased over the last week. It’s too soon to know whether that decrease is part of a longer trend, but given that states are increasing efforts to reduce infection rates, it’s possible.  As with so […]

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COVID-19

Good Vaccine News and Another Million Cases

There’s some good news on COVID, so let’s start with that. A second vaccine, Moderna’s, has reported efficacy data and it’s very promising – above 90% again.  This clearly shows that highly effective vaccines are possible.  The distribution of this vaccine will be much less challenging than Pfizer’s as it does not require such extremely […]

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COVID-19

Accelerating into the Holidays

I spent the last couple of days revamping my data setup.  I’m now pulling from a more informative data set that lets me drill down to the county level and adjust by population.  My charts may look slightly different but should be recognizable to those who are used to seeing them. Cases continue to skyrocket.  […]

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Uncategorized

What Will We Choose?

The last four days have all seen new case numbers over 100,000, the last three were over 120,000.  The national 7-day average for cases has risen to 103,879 and is rising exponentially.  36 states have 7-day averages over 1,000.  Each of the last five days have seen nationwide deaths from COVID above 1,000.  The 7-day […]

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COVID-19

Pressing on the Gas

This is just a quick update to drive home the point that COVID infections are not just at record highs, they are also accelerating. Yesterday saw 121,888 new cases.  That’s 19,000 more cases than the day before and 32,000 more than the previous Thursday.  It brings the 7-day average up to 94,626.  There were 1,210 […]

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COVID-19

100k+ Daily Cases

Yesterday, Nov. 4, saw 102,831 new cases and 1,097 deaths.  This is the first time the Johns Hopkins tracker has shown over 100,000 cases in a single day.  However, if the usual weekly pattern holds, we should see 6 digit cases for the next three days at the very least and possibly from here until […]

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Uncategorized

Looking toward the Holidays

The 7-day average for daily cases now stands at 81,487 and continues to accelerate markedly.  Daily deaths now average 823.  Deaths are increasing but so far are accelerating only a little.  This past week saw another record for highest number of cases in a single day at 99,321.  Some trackers put the number over 100,000.  […]

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COVID-19

Surging Surge

The surge is still surging.   Wednesday saw 78,981 new cases which brought the 7-day average up to 74,340.  That average has increased by about 14,000 over the last week.  If that rate of increase continues, it will be over 80,000 sometime this weekend.  Based on the usual weekly cycle, Thursday, Friday and Saturday will […]