Category: COVID-19

There’s some good news on COVID, so let’s start with that. A second vaccine, Moderna’s, has reported efficacy data and it’s very promising – above 90% again.  This clearly shows that highly effective vaccines are possible.  The distribution of this vaccine will be much less challenging than Pfizer’s as it does not require such extremely […]

I spent the last couple of days revamping my data setup.  I’m now pulling from a more informative data set that lets me drill down to the county level and adjust by population.  My charts may look slightly different but should be recognizable to those who are used to seeing them. Cases continue to skyrocket.  […]

This is just a quick update to drive home the point that COVID infections are not just at record highs, they are also accelerating. Yesterday saw 121,888 new cases.  That’s 19,000 more cases than the day before and 32,000 more than the previous Thursday.  It brings the 7-day average up to 94,626.  There were 1,210 […]

Yesterday, Nov. 4, saw 102,831 new cases and 1,097 deaths.  This is the first time the Johns Hopkins tracker has shown over 100,000 cases in a single day.  However, if the usual weekly pattern holds, we should see 6 digit cases for the next three days at the very least and possibly from here until […]

The surge is still surging.   Wednesday saw 78,981 new cases which brought the 7-day average up to 74,340.  That average has increased by about 14,000 over the last week.  If that rate of increase continues, it will be over 80,000 sometime this weekend.  Based on the usual weekly cycle, Thursday, Friday and Saturday will […]

Friday and Saturday were the two highest days for case numbers in the US so far, each over 83,000.  Our previous high had been about 78,310, so that’s quite a jump.  The 7 day average now stands at 66,970 just below the summer peak of 67,463.  At the rate cases have been increasing, we should […]

Case numbers continue to rise and to accelerate.  Daily deaths are still fairly low but have begun to rise over the last week.  Here’s the graph to start us off. Yesterday’s case count is the third highest on record, exceeded only by the 16th and 24th of July.  The 7 day case average is higher […]

Daily case counts in the US continue to rise and to accelerate.  Our current levels are about the same as they were in early August.  Here is the national graph. You can see the blue line rising at the right side of the graph.  The fact that the line not only rises but is cupped […]

It is now apparent that not only are case numbers rising, but that the rise is accelerating.  We appear to be at the beginning of another large surge.  My best guess is that this will be at least as large as the one in July.  This one is starting off a bit more slowly, but […]

While there is still a higher than usual amount of noise in the numbers, it is increasingly clear that daily case numbers are steadily rising nationally and that the increase is quite widespread.  About half of the states show increasing trends in case numbers and no states are showing clear, sustained declines. Our 7-day average […]