{"id":333,"date":"2020-11-09T08:11:22","date_gmt":"2020-11-09T16:11:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hardythoughts.com\/?p=333"},"modified":"2020-11-09T08:11:22","modified_gmt":"2020-11-09T16:11:22","slug":"what-will-we-choose","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/hardythoughts.com\/index.php\/2020\/11\/09\/what-will-we-choose\/","title":{"rendered":"What Will We Choose?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The last four days have all seen new case numbers over 100,000, the last three were over 120,000.&nbsp; The national 7-day average for cases has risen to 103,879 and is rising exponentially.&nbsp; 36 states have 7-day averages over 1,000.&nbsp;<br><br>Each of the last five days have seen nationwide deaths from COVID above 1,000.&nbsp; The 7-day average for deaths stands at 931.&nbsp; Deaths are also rising exponentially.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here is the chart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img src=\"https:\/\/lh5.googleusercontent.com\/bnSQYbzST80S4mDJOEFk1PcxfUh0zNT3eVExszR9552c5hG9Yk6l2G0KtP8DwxIEQ_RNzi7jbymqURxKsEtlWlRk77GCRyZkNPlAvc00X8j960OGOLsWYvwJdhufzLpKw1dCNb8m\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>I don\u2019t have a lot of deep analysis to offer here other than that this is the very opposite of good.&nbsp; We\u2019ll hit 10 million cumulative cases on Monday, and we\u2019ll add another million every 10 days or less until we peak.&nbsp; Deaths will continue to rise until a couple of weeks after we get cases under control, and I would expect them to accelerate ever more rapidly until then.&nbsp; Realistically, we\u2019re looking at over 15 million cases by the end of the year, though it could be much higher if we keep accelerating.&nbsp; It\u2019s harder to predict death numbers as so much depends on how our medical infrastructure holds up.&nbsp; As it starts to get overwhelmed, we could see levels closer to April than August.&nbsp; On our current path the total dead will likely be more than 300,000 by the end of the year.&nbsp; That\u2019s without factoring overwhelmed medical infrastructure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A great deal depends on the will of the nation.&nbsp; The more we let abiding by best practices for reducing the spread be determined by politics, the worse we will fare. &nbsp; While politicians certainly have an influence here, it\u2019s up to each of us to decide how we will act.&nbsp; I encourage everyone to act on the basis of public health rather than partisan politics.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The last four days have all seen new case numbers over 100,000, the last three were over 120,000.&nbsp; The national 7-day average for cases has risen to 103,879 and is rising exponentially.&nbsp; 36 states have 7-day averages over 1,000.&nbsp; Each of the last five days have seen nationwide deaths from COVID above 1,000.&nbsp; The 7-day [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/hardythoughts.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/hardythoughts.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/hardythoughts.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/hardythoughts.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/hardythoughts.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=333"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/hardythoughts.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":334,"href":"http:\/\/hardythoughts.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333\/revisions\/334"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/hardythoughts.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=333"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/hardythoughts.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=333"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/hardythoughts.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=333"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}